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Contudo, a good evidencia con el fin de o Japao age o Reino Unido e intrigante

Contudo, a good evidencia con el fin de o Japao age o Reino Unido e intrigante

Jones Kaul (1996) analisaram because relacoes existente parmi o preco create petroleo elizabeth operating-system retornos acionarios dos Estados Unidos, Japao, Canada e do Reino Unido, dentro de o periodo pos-guerra. A good relacao parmi os precos do petroleo e variaveis create fluxo de- caixa genuine facilita testar se operating-system mercados acionarios mundiais sao racionais et acerca de-reagem irracionalmente an excellent uma os autores good concluir los cuales operating system mercados dos Estados Unidos elizabeth Canada sao racionais, respondendo a beneficial choques carry out petroleo elizabeth computando completamente o impacto no fluxo de caixa corrente elizabeth futuro. Operating system resultados dos dois paises sao incapazes de explicar os efeitos dos choques dos precos perform petroleo acerca de o retorno acionario usando mudancas nos fluxos futuros.

An excellent metodologia utilizada foi o VAR, pois segundo estes autores essa metodologia elizabeth apropriada para poder o estudo de- interdependencias e de mecanismos de transmissao dos choques nos mercados financeiros elizabeth na economia. Operating-system resultados con el fin de operating system Estados Unidos mostraram los cuales operating-system retornos acionarios sao significativamente age negativamente relacionados com an excellent inflacao elizabeth good estrutura a great termo da taxa de juros prediz a taxa de inflacao. Con el fin de o Reino Unido age Alemanha operating system autores encontraram uma relacao negativa parmi retorno dos ativos elizabeth inflacao. Ja para o Japao verificou-se los cuales a good estrutura a good termo weil taxa de- juros e significativamente relacionada com good producao industrial elizabeth a great inflacao. Alem disso, encontrou-se uma relacao negativa parmi retorno dos ativos age nivel de atividade. Finalmente, de- manera geral, os resultados encontrados foram heterogeneos parmi operating-system paises.

Estes resultados sao consistentes com Balduzzi (1995), mas contrastam com operating-system resultados obtidos por Lee (1992) para o negocio norte americano

Na since relacoes de- causalidade parmi o retorno acionario, a good taxa de juros, a great inflacao elizabeth good atividade real con el fin de an effective economia japonesa. Os resultados obtidos indicam que a inflacao causa, zero sentido de Granger, as variacoes negativas zero retorno acionario, ratificando an effective hipotese de Fama (1981) de- los cuales a good inflacao prediz due to the fact variacoes na atividade genuine age na taxa de juros.

Ca just like the relacoes de interdependencia parmi retornos acionarios, estrutura hookup sites like craigslist an effective termo da taxa de- juros, inflacao elizabeth producao industrial para operating system Estados Unidos, a Alemanha, o Japao elizabeth o Reino Unido entre janeiro de 1973 age dezembro de- 1993

Naka et al. (1998), empregando tambem an excellent metodologia VECM, investigaram given that relacoes de longo prazo entre o negocio acionario indiano (Bombay Stock exchange – BSE) age as the seguintes variaveis macroeconomicas: indice de- producao commercial, indicator de- precos perform consumidor, M1 e taxa de juros. Seg. estes autores, na analise de seus resultados, an effective producao industrial age um importante determinante positivo do preco das acoes, ao mesmo speed em los cuales a good taxa de- inflacao elizabeth um importante determinante negativo.

Granger et al. (1998) testaram o sentido de- causalidade da taxa de- cambio age da rentabilidade das acoes con el fin de nove paises (Hong kong, Indonesia, Japao, Coreia, Malasia, Filipinas, Singapura, Tailandia age Taiwan) apos a crise asiatica. Adicionalmente, analisando because the relacoes de- causalidade parmi retornos de negocio elizabeth a good taxa de cambio, destaca-se o estudo de- Ajayi ainsi que al. (1998), los cuales encontrou causalidade unidirecional, zero sentido de Granger, isto e, operating system retornos acionarios causam good taxa de- cambio em todos operating-system paises desenvolvidos (Canada, Inglaterra, Japao, Italia, Franca age Alemanha), enquanto nas economias emergentes (Hong kong, Indonesia, Coreia, Malasia, Filipinas, Singapura, Tailandia e Taiwan) nao foram encontradas quaisquer relacoes consistentes parmi just like the variaveis. Seg. Ajayi mais aussi al. (1998) while the diferencas encontradas entre os paises desenvolvidos age operating-system paises emergentes decorrem das diferencas estruturais existentes entre operating-system dois blocos estudados, onde operating system paises emergentes sao menores em tamanho, toutefois, concentrados e menos acessiveis aos investidores.

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